Friday, July 08, 2005

Kooks for Kyoto

President Bush has shown that his is wise in the face of critisim and pressure from the left and other foreign nations. He is absolutely correct about the treaty and not signing it. For one, it is not going to work. In fact, it isn't even lowering emissions, much less changing the global climate. Cutting emissions while hamstringing the economy is not worth it, for the simple fact that it is not really going to effect the global temperature. It would so damage the US economy while not doing anything of actual value that the only people advocating its signings are either uninformed kooks, or perhaps someone who desires to see the USA fall. Then take into consideration another point, that soon emmisions leaders are going to be countries not even sitting at the table, notably China and India. Even the house of Lords recently concluded in a report that the protocal will make little difference in the progression of Global Warming. Another point to note in all of this blather is that the US is not the problem, but rather the solution. The USA takes in as much as it puts out in CO2. We are not the cause of the problem, (if it really is one) we are the solution.

Then comes the issue of whether Global Warming is something we can control, hence something we caused, whether it is really even happening the way some scenarios portray, and the ability of the models to acuratly show trends in temperature.

For one, there is certainly no "scientific consensus" for global warming, it just happens some scientists get all of the air time in the media. Scientifically, the case for global warming is on very unstable ground. For one, its not like CO2 is some sort of toxic pollutant, monumentally bad for the earth as a whole. It is anything but. Plants need it to grow, and plants are a part or our intricatly (making models and predictions often irrelevant as they can't account for everything) structured planet earth. In fact, the earth has a sort of carbon cycles that regulate our temperature and keep it from getting too far in any extreme. (no doubt there are many such regulators we don't even know about.) If CO2 builds up in the atmosphere, that encourages more plant growth, and more moss-covered rocks chemically erode easier, burying CO2. The earth is replete with negative feedback loops such as these, and we are really quite naive to think we might actually be affecting the earth. The moral of the story is, don't underestimate planet earth.

Another problem with models is that they cannot predict the past. Thirty years ago the "concensus" was on future global cooling. The problem for the models is, they are unable to predict the past. If they cannot predict what has already happened, how can they predict what is going to happen? Putting faith in such models is lunacy. The year 1000 saw temperatures the same as present day CO2 emissions? How? The earths climate fluctuates, and always has. The models predict no such thing, and are ultimately just over-hyped by those we want to believe that man is inherently evil, or something like that.

One thing we can be almost absolutely sure about is that in terms of human impact, global warming is probably a hoax. Perhaps the earth is warming, but it is hardly anything to be alarmed about. It is currently proceeding at such a miniscule rate anyway, and the earth's history is one of stability--with variations here and there.

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